Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000109 0.000120 0.000131 0.000145 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000101 0.000119 0.000140 0.000167 0.000198 0.000237
2025-12-21 0.000070 0.000087 0.000108 0.000135 0.000170 0.000213 0.000272
2025-12-28 0.000062 0.000081 0.000104 0.000135 0.000178 0.000235 0.000317
2026-01-04 0.000056 0.000075 0.000100 0.000136 0.000187 0.000257 0.000363
2026-01-11 0.000051 0.000070 0.000096 0.000135 0.000191 0.000273 0.000402
2026-01-18 0.000047 0.000066 0.000093 0.000135 0.000199 0.000294 0.000450
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000062 0.000090 0.000133 0.000202 0.000308 0.000489
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000059 0.000087 0.000133 0.000207 0.000325 0.000535
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000055 0.000083 0.000130 0.000209 0.000337 0.000573
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000052 0.000080 0.000128 0.000209 0.000347 0.000609
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000050 0.000079 0.000129 0.000216 0.000368 0.000666
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000078 0.000131 0.000225 0.000395 0.000740
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000128 0.000226 0.000408 0.000788
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000043 0.000071 0.000123 0.000223 0.000412 0.000820
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000124 0.000229 0.000435 0.000896
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000040 0.000069 0.000125 0.000236 0.000461 0.000979
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000038 0.000066 0.000123 0.000238 0.000476 0.001041
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000065 0.000123 0.000245 0.000501 0.001131
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000122 0.000246 0.000515 0.001196
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000121 0.000250 0.000537 0.001283
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000032 0.000060 0.000119 0.000251 0.000549 0.001347
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000117 0.000250 0.000558 0.001406